Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 2.227615 2.541184 2.883219 3.284042 3.740983 4.245803 4.846038
2025-08-31 1.750543 2.177902 2.685632 3.333561 4.139017 5.108240 6.364639
2025-09-07 1.459948 1.927852 2.517347 3.315042 4.367579 5.710890 7.559164
2025-09-14 1.241807 1.721797 2.356293 3.257180 4.505460 6.177435 8.593429
2025-09-21 1.086377 1.571402 2.239846 3.229400 4.660037 6.658399 9.671731
2025-09-28 0.956640 1.437126 2.124469 3.180757 4.767090 7.067834 10.672263
2025-10-05 0.922458 1.434815 2.193290 3.399655 5.275893 8.092878 12.664126
2025-10-12 0.846086 1.358902 2.142416 3.428764 5.495065 8.698084 14.067527
2025-10-19 0.801217 1.326083 2.152093 3.549147 5.862297 9.557009 15.942682
2025-10-26 0.732426 1.246899 2.079363 3.527222 5.993704 10.045831 17.253193
2025-11-02 0.673661 1.177947 2.015714 3.511954 6.130665 10.549461 18.626342
2025-11-09 0.612265 1.098172 1.925888 3.441954 6.164483 10.876881 19.717150
2025-11-16 0.573217 1.057716 1.906421 3.505322 6.460214 11.722204 21.884197
2025-11-23 0.534498 1.014618 1.879461 3.555283 6.742504 12.581817 24.191129
2025-11-30 0.490647 0.956841 1.819213 3.535658 6.890638 13.206019 26.114482
2025-12-07 0.446470 0.893482 1.741695 3.473915 6.949679 13.664568 27.759374
2025-12-14 0.411086 0.843424 1.684177 3.444275 7.066466 14.241846 29.694902
2025-12-21 0.377006 0.792303 1.619257 3.392375 7.131517 14.719899 31.472544
2025-12-28 0.375648 0.808314 1.690138 3.625934 7.807377 16.497828 36.157612
2026-01-04 0.354215 0.779641 1.666257 3.656993 8.057309 17.413865 39.082265
2026-01-11 0.343373 0.772637 1.686914 3.785441 8.529447 18.844078 43.283909
2026-01-18 0.320334 0.736287 1.640975 3.762047 8.662096 19.547490 45.915497
2026-01-25 0.299876 0.703696 1.600117 3.745756 8.808455 20.293443 48.719740